Predictive power of inspection outcomes for future shipping accidents – an empirical appraisal with special attention for human factor aspects

This paper investigates whether deficiencies detected during port state control (PSC) inspections have predictive power for future accident risk, in addition to other vessel-specific risk factors like ship type, age, size, flag, and owner. The empirical analysis links accidents to past inspection outcomes and is based on data from all around the globe of PSC regimes using harmonized deficiency codes. These codes are aggregated into eight groups related to human factor aspects like crew qualifications, working and living conditions, and fatigue and safety management. This information is integrated by principal components into a single overall deficiency index, which is related to future accident risk by means of logit models. The factor by which accident risk increases for vessels with above average compared to below average deficiency scores is about 6 for total loss, 2 for very serious, 1.5 for serious, and 1.3 for less-serious accidents. Relations between deficiency scores and accident risk are presented in graphical format. The results may be of interest to PSC authorities for targeting inspection areas, to maritime administrations for improving asset allocation based on prediction scenarios connected with vessel traffic data, and to maritime insurers for refining their premium strategies.     

Walking accessibility and property prices

Walking is an imperative travel mode, especially for short trips. Walking accessibility, which is defined as the ease of reaching essential destinations in the walk-in catchment area, may affect property prices because residents are more likely to be willing to pay for this attribute. In addition, different categories of public services may have varied influencing directions and magnitude. These two hypotheses are tested in this study. Taking Xiamen, China as a case study, we estimate the cumulative opportunities of public services on foot and develop a set of hedonic pricing models (more specifically, two pre-specified ordinary least squares models, four Box-Cox transformed models, and two spatial econometric models) to estimate, whether and to what extent, walking accessibility contributes to price premiums (or discounts). Using a database of 22,586 second-hand residential properties in 358 multi- or high-storey residential complexes, we find that (1) walking accessibility to public services contributes to the variations in housing prices and plays a role in determining housing prices; (2) different categories of services have vastly divergent, even opposite, influencing impacts; and (3) walking accessibility to primary schools, commercial centers, and sports and cultural centers have positive effects on house prices whereas walking accessibility to comprehensive hospitals adversely affects housing prices. Methodologically, we confirm that spatial econometric methods improve estimation accuracy and have more explanatory power relative to the standard non-spatial models. Robustness check analysis further guarantees the plausibility of this study.     

海洋平台海洋平台常用流量计的选型分析

文章主要介绍了海洋平台常用流量计的原理和特点,结合海洋平台的特点叙述了流量计选型时的注意事项,并给出了海洋平台常用流量计的选型原则和计算方法,为海洋平台选出最合适的流量计提供了一种方案。     

基于信息协同管理的高速公路项目BIM云平台架构及应用研究

在高速公路项目的项目管理过程中,传统的信息沟通和管理模式会导致工作重复率高,信息传递手段落后,管理效率低下等。本文基于信息协同管理的视角,通过梳理研究传统公路工程项目管理模式的弊端,利用BIM数字化建模和互联网数据库这类现代化信息技术,提出了基于BIM云平台的协同管理模式。根据管理需求搭建了BIM云平台的架构体系,目前已应用于中开高速公路项目建设管理中,切实的帮助项目公司提高了管理效率和管理质量,充分体现了BIM云平台的应用价值和实践效果。     

电子信息技术在智能交通信号控制系统中的运用研究

当前电子信息技术的发展水平已经达到了一定的高度,并且在智能交通信号的控制系统之中应用的频率非常高,对于系统的稳定运行起到了保障作用。本文主要针对智能交通信号控制系统与信息技术之间的关系进行研究,希望能够推动智能交通信号控制系统运行水平的提升,从而为广大群众的日常出行提供便利。     

面向智能车辆的现役道路设施行驶适应性研究综述

为了总结面向智能车辆的现役道路设施行驶适应性，即现役道路基础设施承载智能车辆行驶的适宜程度，阐述自主智能驾驶定义与驾驶自动化等级分类，在此基础上剖析不同等级间的人机功能差异，并分别从感知层、感知-决策层、决策-控制层探讨与道路设计要素相关联的人机功能差异，通过归纳总结智能车辆与道路几何要素、路面性能及其他道路要素(如道路标线)的相互作用机制研究，从道路工程角度及其他道路要素方面回顾该领域的研究现状，指出存在的问题和未来发展方向。研究结果表明：相比传统车辆，配置高等级自动驾驶系统的智能车辆对现役道路设施行驶适应性最高，主动安全系统次之，而驾驶辅助及有条件自动驾驶系统适应性不足。而目前研究主要问题包括：难以归纳、标定不同驾驶自动化等级间的人机功能差异及其对于道路设计参数的需求设计值；测试道路场景条件过于理想，考虑的驾驶自动化等级单一，试验规模和样本有限；道路几何、路面性能以及道路标志、标线等道路要素与智能车辆间的相互作用机制研究不足，缺乏与不同道路场景相匹配的智能车辆驾驶特征数据的获取手段。因此建议：重视并推动与道路设计要素相关联的关键人机功能差异指标信息共享；联合高保真且可交互的道路场景、高精度感知传感器物理模型、车辆动力学模型及微观交通流模型，利用测试场景自动化生成、极限工况场景搜寻与泛化等技术开展智能驾驶虚拟测试，突破现有研究的深度和广度；探索反映不同等级智能车辆的道路行驶适应性特征指标与评价标准，精准、有效地评估预测复杂道路场景及不利道路条件下的行驶适应性。     

GSM-R中跨SGSN更新时源SGSN域名解析数据的智能生成方案设计

源SGSN域名解析数据是GSM-R网络编号方案数据中重要的需跨局制作的一类数据。由RAI编码构造生成,在跨SGSN路由区更新时,存储于DNS中,以解析源SGSN的IP地址。全路400多条G网线路,错综复杂的基站引用关系,导致数据复杂多样。针对该情况,利用聚类分析和关联规则分析算法,研究源SGSN解析数据的智能生成方案,提高数据的全面性、准确性,从而有效保障GSM-R分组域应用业务的正常运转。     

An integrated framework for embedding large-scale dynamic traffic assignment models in advanced traveler information systems

In recent years, increasing attention has been drawn to the development of various applications of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), which are credited with the amelioration of traffic conditions in urban and regional environments. Advanced traveler information systems (ATIS) constitute an important element of ITS by providing potential travelers with information on the network's current performance both en-route and pre-trip. In order to tackle the complexity of such systems, derived from the difficulty of providing real-time estimations of current as well as forecasts of future traffic conditions, a series of models and algorithms have been initiated. This paper proposes the development of an integrated framework for real-time ATIS and presents its application on a large-scale network, that of Thessaloniki, Greece, concluding with a discussion on development and implementation challenges as well as on the advantages and limitations of such an effort.     

基于云平台的城市轨道交通能源管理系统

阐述了基于云平台的城市轨道交通能源管理系统架构和建设方式。该系统利用云计算的高效和弹性来部署建设,采用线网-车站二层管理模式,降低了线网和线路服务器等的硬件部署成本和维护成本。通过将能源管理系统内部使用的业务应用转换为基于云平台的能源管理应用软件,能源管理系统可获取云平台提供的共享数据,并将经过业务处理后的数据存储到云平台中,以服务于云平台上其他业务,实现了数据资源的逻辑统一和高效利用。